Kalshi is exporting its prediction data on-chain, but the aim is to become DeFi’s event-probability provider, not a ...

Coin tosses, randomness, and decision-making in films and literature explored through statistics and probability by a professor.

Probability is a fundamental concept in mathematics and statistics that deals with the likelihood of events occurring. It provides a framework for quantifying uncertainty and making predictions based ...

Abstract: In the first part we study the effect of interactions on Kitaev's toy model for Majorana wires [1]. To this end we map the model onto the axial next-nearest neighbour Ising chain and discuss ...

V. Raghunathan is a former Director of the Schulich School of Business (India Program), York University, Toronto, a former professor at IIM Ahmedabad and a former President of ING Vysya Bank. A ...

Abstract: In many applications (e.g., anomaly detection and security systems) of smart cities, rare events dominate the importance of the total information on big data collected by the Internet of ...

With the 2024 YR4 asteroid scheduled to near Earth by 2032, several methods of averting a collision have already been proposed. The asteroid, being monitored by multiple space agencies across the ...

Look at it this way — there's about a 98 per cent chance an asteroid up to the size of a football field won't hit the Earth in eight years. But even though it's rare for any asteroid impact risk to ...

Abstract: Due to climate change and global warming, high-impact, low-probability events such as floods, hurricanes, and earthquakes have been observed to occur with increased intensity, posing a ...

I was emailed several times about a recent Morningstar article about J.P. Morgan’s warning of lower forward returns for the S&P 500 over the next decade. That was followed up by numerous emails about ...

Future events are far from certain in the business world. This is especially true for smaller businesses, which tend to have more volatility than larger organizations, or newer businesses without a ...