These college football teams could be in for a regress in 2025, according to the latest win total projections.

A 9-3 record would give some SEC teams a chance at playoff qualification, but 10-2 is a golden ticket. Connelly’s latest formula gives 10 SEC teams a 5% chance or better of finishing at least 10-2. Strictly speaking, these percentages do not represent the chance that a team will make the playoff — only its chance of finishing 10-2 or better.

Roster movement in college football, which is a near six-month process during the offseason, is finally complete. There will be a few stragglers hopping on rosters from the transfer portal and JUCO ranks.