The Colts are 5-1. They are second in overall team DVOA, first on offense and 15th on defense. It’s not a fluke. They’ve played efficient football with Daniel Jones at quarterback, they have a run game that’s mauling opponents and there is also a defense that’s doing just enough.

There is only one spread of more than a touchdown. The Kansas City Chiefs, who will get top receiver Rashee Rice back in the lineup, are 11.5-point favorites over the Las Vegas Raiders. There are two spreads of seven points (Patriots over Titans, Broncos over Giants) and the rest are within a touchdown. It should be a better week of NFL games.